Realistic analyses of the 2016 election continue to be largely ignored by most of the national news media talkers and writers. On air segments or columns/blog posts acknowledging realistic analyses of the ongoing presidential primary races in both parties are lightly sprinkled in with the “infotainment” that pays the bills. As long as the imperatives of the media marketplace are given greater weight than the duty to inform and educate the public, national media outlets will continue to distort political reality in order to produce enough marketable content to satisfy their 24/7/365 political programing needs. Sadly, the unchecked role of big money in our politics combined with the increasing ratings value of big celebrity in media coverage of our politics promise to make this media-generated gap between political reality and political reality TV even greater.
Last week Brendan Nyhan argued that Democrats shouldn’t expect the chaos in the Republican House of Representatives to hurt the Republicans in the 2016 elections. He is on very solid ground in terms of next year’s congressional elections. Congressmen simply are not punished at the ballot box for Congressional dysfunction and, as Thomas Edsall recently explained well, several national trends bode well for GOP efforts to protect their Congressional majority next year. However, I don’t think Nyhan's analysis is as persuasive in terms of the GOP’s presidential aspirations in 2016.